Yes, I haven’t been
posting much in the Downfall series lately. With Obama’s approval numbers stubbornly staying at or above
40% in spite of all his enormities, I’ve wondered what it could take for Obama
and allied Democrats to be stripped of their power. And at times I’ve also gotten rather discouraged about the
persistence of his support. Frankly, it still disturbs me.
But a poll I’ve read this
morning reveals that if one goes deeper into the numbers, revulsion against
Obama is at politically dangerous (for him) levels. Gallup has looked at the percentages of those who “strongly
approve” and “strongly disapprove” of Obama. Go look at the numbers for yourself.
What I find most
interesting is that while strong disapproval of Obama is only modestly higher
than in 2010, strong approval is much lower, from 27% in May 2010 to only 17%
now. Therefore, strong disapproval
of Obama roughly doubles strong approval.
Of course, the 2010
midterm elections were not good for
Obama. But these poll numbers are
significantly worse now before this November’s midterms, particularly since
those with a strong opinion about the sitting president are more likely to
vote.
Now this does not
guarantee a wave election turning Obama into a very lame duck (which I would
consider a Downfall, by the way).
Congressional disapproval is remarkably high for one thing. But on that, one must remember that
said disapproval includes disapproval of the Democrat Senate and of Establishment
Republican Speaker Boehner’s weak approach to confronting Obama. Further, Republican Senate candidates
appear to be politically stronger than in 2010. And this time it is some of the Democrat Senate candidates
who appear off the deep end, e. g. Amanda Curtis in Montana, or have
foot-in-mouth disease, e. g. Bruce Braley in Iowa.
Still, leave it to
establishment Republicans to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory. They have already so alienated the
conservative Republican base that the base is not nearly as enthusiastic about
voting as they could and should be.
But with 39% strongly
disapproving of Obama and only 17% strongly approving, a wave election may come
in November anyway.
-----
Downfall is an ongoing
series anticipating and tracking what I expect will be the
the possible self-destruction of Obama.
No comments:
Post a Comment