Yesterday, I demonstrated
that the GOP establishment has angered the Republican base to their own
political hurt, heck, near destruction.
Now some more numbers on how Jeb Bush is politically dead in the water.
On a CNN Poll of registered
voters (Yes, it’s CNN. But it is
of registered voters, not just adults.
And the poll actually has Bush doing better than some other polls.), Jeb
Bush’s favorables are as follows:
Favorable Opinion 35%
Unfavorable Opinion 57%
And it is worse among
independents:
Favorable Opinion 30%
Unfavorable Opinion 62%
Yes, it is not 2016
yet. But is opinion really going
to change that much on a long term politician named Bush? He is too much a known quality – an
establishment Republican . . . named Bush.
The irony of this is that
for decades the Establishment Republicans have told the base that the only way
to win is to nominate one of them.
But it is hard to escape that nominating yet another Establishment
Republican would be the surest way to another defeat in 2016. The Republican base, including me, is
that fed up.
I am doubling down on the
prediction I made late last year.
If the GOP Establishment manages to get Jeb! nominated and Hillary! is
the Democrat nominee, the two hated candidates would create a political vacuum
that begs for a strong Third Party run.
Put an “!” on that.
But I don’t think Jeb!
gets nominated. Money can’t buy
everything. And he is that weak.